Project number: 18.00.19.01.01

Climate Risks for Agriculture and Adaptive Strategies

Agricultural crop production is to a large extent dependent upon climatic conditions. Because of climate change, temperatures are rising and patterns of precipitation are changing. We also expect extreme events such as drought and heatwaves to occur more frequently in future.

To exploit the potential for plant production in Switzerland, both now and in future, we need to be able to gauge the direct and indirect effects of climate change on crops. Knowledge of the expected risks helps with the planning and implementation of suitable adaptive measures (e.g. different choice of crops or varieties, irrigation, determination of breeding objectives).

Cuartero J., Frey B., Eder R., Brunner I.
More than a decade of irrigation alters soil nematode communities in a drought-prone Scots pine forest.
Applied Soil Ecology, 203, 2024, Article 105621.

Holzkaemper A., Hund A., Fossati D.
Saisonalitätsänderungen und die Folgen für die Landwirtschaft.
In: Klimawandel und Jahreszeiten. Geographica Bernensia, Bern. 2020, 16-17.
other Languages: french

Grünig, M., Razavi, E., Calanca P., Mazzi D., Wegner, J.D., Pellissier, L.
Applying deep neural networks to predict incidence and phenology of plant pests and diseases.
Ecosphere, 12, (10), 2021, e03791.

Rogger J., Hund A., Fossati D., Holzkaemper A.
Can Swiss wheat varieties escape future heat stress?
European Journal of Agronomy, 131, 2021, 1-11.

Eisenring S., Holzkaemper A., Calanca P.
Berechnung der Bewässerungsbedürfnisse unter aktuellen und zukünftigen Bedingungen in der Schweiz.
Agroscope Science, 107, 2021.

Heinz M. M., Galetti, V., Holzkaemper A.
Alternative crops for aclimate-smart food production system in Switzerland.
In: Landscape 2021. 22.09., Berlin (virtuel). 2021.

Cochand, F., Brunner, P., Hunkeler, P., Rössler, O., Holzkämper, A.
Cross-sphere modelling to evaluate impacts of climate and land management changes on groundwater resources.
Science of the Total Environment, 798, 2021, Article 148759.

Petersen K., Kraus D., Calanca P., Semenov M.A., Butterbach-Bahl K., Kiese R.
Dynamic simulation of management events for assessing impacts of climate change on pre-alpine grassland productivity.
European Journal of Agronomy, 128, (126306), 2021.

Moulin T., Calanca P.
Modélisation de la réponse des prairies permanentes aux changements climatiques.
Fourrages, 246, 2021, 11-20.

Linder Z., Holzkaemper A., Zappa, M.
Climate change impacts on irrigation water resource in Switzerland.
In: EGU21. 26.04., Publ. EGU General Assembly, virtuell. 2021, 1.

Heinz M. M., Romppainen-Martius O., Holzkaemper A.
Alternative crops for a changing climate in Switzerland.
In: EGU21. 26.04., Publ. EGU General Assembly, virtuell. 2021, 1.

Calanca P., Stöckli S.
Wärmeres Klima begünstigt invasive Schadinsekten.
2021, 2 pp.

Buzzi F., Hiltbrunner J., Holzkaemper A., Calanca P.
Temperatursummen-Karten für die Sortenwahl im Maisanbau.
Agrarforschung Schweiz, 12, 2021, 1-8.

Moulin T., Perasso A., Calanca P., Gillet F.
DynaGraM: A process-based model to simulate multi-species plant community dynamics in managed grasslands.
Ecological Modelling, 439, (1 January), 2021, 1-14.

Holzkaemper A., Cochand F., Rössler O., Brunner P., Hunkeler D.
AgriAdapt – Modellgestützte Untersuchung der Einflüsse von Klima- und Landnutzungsänderungen auf Grundwasserressourcen im Berner Seeland.
Agroscope, Universität Bern, Universität Neuenburg, Zürich. Oktober, 2020, 38 pp.

Brönnimann S., Holzkaemper A., Meier M.
Spätfröste und Klimawandel – Steigt oder sinkt das Schadenrisiko?
In: Klimawandel und Jahreszeiten. Publ. Geographica Bernensia, Bern. 2020, 18-19.

Holzkaemper A., Zarrineh N., L. Bussani
Climate and land use change impacts on agroecosystem services and biodiversity – risks of maladaptation?
In: 4th International Conference on Global Food Security. 08 December, virtuell. 2020, 1.

Templ B., Calanca P.
Critical increase in the occurrence of heat stress during reproductive growth in Russian wheat beyond 1.5 C global warming.
Weather and Climate Extremes, 30, (December), 2020, 1-10.

Grünig M., Calanca P., Mazzi D.
Einfluss des Klimawandels auf die Verbreitung von Schadinsekten.
Schweizer Zeitschrift für Obst- und Weinbau, 156, (16), 2020, 9-12.

Grünig M., Calanca P., Mazzi D., Pellissier L.
Inflection point in climatic suitability of insect pest species in Europe suggests non-linear responses to climate change.
Global Change Biology, 26, (11), 2020, 6338-6349.

Pavlova V. N., Calanca P., Karachenkova A. A.
Grain Crops Productivity in the European Part of Russia under Recent Climate Change.
Russian Meteorology and Hydrology, 45, 2020, 209-302.

Grünig M., Mazzi D., Calanca P., Karger D.N., Pellissier L.
Crop and forest pest metawebs shift towards increased linkage and suitability overlap under climate change.
Communications Biology, 3, (233), 2020, 1-10.

Holzkaemper A.
Varietal adaptations matter for agricultural water use – a simulation study on grain maize in Western Switzerland.
Agricultural Water Management, 237, (1 July), 2020, 1-11.

Castex V., de Cortázar-Atauri I., Calanca P., Beniston M., Moreau J.
Assembling and testing a generic phenological model to predict Lobesia botrana voltinism for impact studies.
Ecological Modelling, 420, (108946), 2020, 1-13.

Hagemann N, van der Zanden E.H, Willaarts B.A., Holzkaemper A., Volk M., Rutz C., Priess J.A., Schönhart M.
Bringing the sharing-sparing debate down to the ground—Lessons learnt for participatory scenario development.
Land Use Policy, 91, (Article number 104262), 2020, 1-10.

Zarrineh N., Abbaspour K., Holzkaemper A.
Integrated assessment of climate change impacts on multiple ecosystem services in Western Switzerland.
Science of the Total Environment, 708, (Article number 135212), 2020, 1-27.

Giannakaki P.
Russian winter and spring wheat productivity, heat stress and drought conditions at flowering, and the role of atmospheric blocking.
Climate Research, 78, (2), 2019, 135-147.

Karner K., Cord A.F., Hagemann N., Hernandez-Mora N, Holzkaemper A., Jeangros B., Lienhoop N., Nitsch H., Rivas D., Schmid E., Schulp C.J.E., Strauch M., van der Zanden E.H., Volk M., Willlaarts B. and others
Developing stakeholder-driven scenarios on land sharing and land sparing: Insights from five European case studies.
Journal of Environmental Management, 241, 2019, 488-500.

Zarrineh N., Abbaspour K.C., Holzkaemper A.
Potentials of land use/management strategies for climate change adaptation using SWAT.
In: EGU. 8 April, Publ. General Assembly, Vienna. 2019, 1.

Holzkaemper A.
Klimawandel und Landwirtschaft – Neue Nutzungskonflikte um das Wasser?
In: Nachhaltigkeitstag Agroscope. 24.01., Agroscope Zürich. 2019.

Zarrineh N., Abbaspour K. C., van Griensven A. , Jeangros B., Holzkaemper A.
Model-based evaluation of land management strategies with regard to multiple ecosystem services.
Sustainability, 10, (11), 2018, 1-21.

Guyer A., Hibbard B.E., Holzkaemper A., Erb M., Robert C.A.M.
Influence of drought on plant performance through changes in belowground tritrophic interactions.
Ecology and Evolution, 8, (13), 2018, 6756-6765.

Hamindov A., Helming K., Bellocchi G., Bojar W., Dalgaard T., Ghaley B.B., Hoffmann C., Holman I., Holzkaemper A., Krzeminska D., Kvaerno S.H., Lehtonen H., Niedrist G., Oygarden L., Reidsma P. and others
Impacts of climate change adaptation options on soil functions: A review of European case‐studies.
Land Degradation & Development, 29, (8), 2018, 2378-2389.

Herrera J. M., Levy Häner L., Holzkaemper A., Pellet D.
Evaluation of ridge regression for country-wide prediction of genotype-specific grain yields of wheat.
Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 252, 2018, 1-9.

Meier M., Fuhrer J., Holzkaemper A.
Changing risk of spring frost damage in grapevines due to climate change? A case study in the Swiss Rhone Valley.
International Journal of Biometeorology, 62, 2018, 991-1002.

Grünig M., Mazzi D., Calanca P., Fuhrer J., Pellissier L.
Spatial modelling of insect pests under climate change.
In: Biology 18. 14-16 February, Publ. Université de Neuchâtel, Neuchâtel. 2018, 1.

Felber R., Stoeckli S., Calanca P.
Generic calibration of a simple model of diurnal temperature variations for spatial analysis of accumulated degree-days.
International Journal of Biometeorology, 62, (4), 2018, 621-630.